Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.185980 0.216193 0.249808 0.289994 0.336752 0.389470 0.453465
2025-03-16 0.137290 0.176980 0.225922 0.290778 0.374594 0.479447 0.620893
2025-03-23 0.113206 0.156682 0.214223 0.296091 0.409862 0.562821 0.784876
2025-03-30 0.093617 0.137254 0.198418 0.290619 0.426556 0.620375 0.919156
2025-04-06 0.079956 0.123204 0.186902 0.287851 0.444514 0.679576 1.061356
2025-04-13 0.070113 0.112944 0.178885 0.288175 0.465756 0.744680 1.219469
2025-04-20 0.064840 0.108794 0.179272 0.300991 0.507311 0.845329 1.446185
2025-04-27 0.059940 0.104429 0.178495 0.311380 0.545623 0.944683 1.683167
2025-05-04 0.055479 0.100113 0.177071 0.320153 0.581785 1.044125 1.932620
2025-05-11 0.050616 0.094392 0.172391 0.322338 0.606126 1.125175 2.158713
2025-05-18 0.045675 0.087860 0.165388 0.319209 0.619948 1.188186 2.358368
2025-05-25 0.040557 0.080335 0.155608 0.309483 0.619732 1.224289 2.509623
2025-06-01 0.038088 0.077736 0.155046 0.317988 0.657049 1.338966 2.837051
2025-06-08 0.035011 0.073553 0.150912 0.318854 0.679159 1.426340 3.120816
2025-06-15 0.032784 0.070822 0.149325 0.324688 0.712174 1.539856 3.475502
2025-06-22 0.029715 0.065912 0.142620 0.318680 0.718768 1.597767 3.714511
2025-06-29 0.027248 0.062005 0.137574 0.315640 0.731444 1.670279 3.996373
2025-07-06 0.025308 0.059041 0.134231 0.315996 0.751824 1.762417 4.336761
2025-07-13 0.024543 0.058683 0.136680 0.330068 0.806101 1.939462 4.907223
2025-07-20 0.023630 0.057861 0.137954 0.341476 0.855368 2.110611 5.486687
2025-07-27 0.022658 0.056779 0.138483 0.351110 0.901436 2.279591 6.084102
2025-08-03 0.021329 0.054651 0.136241 0.353510 0.929429 2.406774 6.589065
2025-08-10 0.019794 0.051817 0.131934 0.350073 0.941791 2.495378 7.002012